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EPIDEMIOLOGY

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Andrews, G., Skinner, D. & Zuma, K. (2006) Epidemiology of health and vulnerability among children orphaned and made vulnerable by HIV/AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa. AIDS care. 18(3):269-276.
The HIV/AIDS epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa has already orphaned a generation of children, and it is projected that by 2010, 18 million African children under the age of 18 are likely to be orphans from this single cause (UNICEF, 2005, The state of the Worlds Children: Childhood under threat . New York: UNICEF). Results from a Kellogg funded OVC project (Skinner et al., 2004, Definition of orph...
Connolly, C., Colvin, M., Shisana, O. & Stoker, D. (2004) Epidemiology of HIV in South Africa: results of a national, community-based survey. South African medical journal. 94(9):776-781.
Gebrekristos, H.T., Resch, S.C., Zuma, K. & Lurie, M.N. (2005) Estimating the impact of establishing family housing on the annual risk of HIV infection in South African mining communities. Sexually transmitted diseases. 32(6):333-340.
The objective of this study was to determine the HIV related epidemiologic impact of establishing family-style housing in mining communities in South Africa. Modeling sex acts as independent Bernoulli trials, the estimated impact of converting to family housing arrangements on the annual risk of HIV infection is calculated and the differential effects on migrants and their partners is explore...
Human Sciences Research Council (2002) HIV/AIDS in Southern Africa. (Prepared for the W.K. Kellogg Foundation).
Reports on the situation of HIV/AIDS in the SADC region, including an analysis of regional and six country policies and programmes, factors that promote or prevent further spread of HIV, including socio-cultural factors and those that mitigate the impact of the epidemic. Due to time constraints, most analyses are base don secondary data rather than on primary data collection. A survey of gove...
Kalichman, S.C., Simbayi, L.C., Cain, D. & Jooste, S. (2008) Perceived HIV/AIDS prevalence, burden, and risk, Cape Town, South Africa. American Journal of Health Behavior. 32(6):693-700.
This article examines perceived HIV prevalence and disease burden in high-risk adults in Cape Town, South Africa. A convenience sample of 793 males and 188 female sexually transmitted infection clinic patients completed anonymous surveys. The results indicated that the individuals who saw themselves at greater risk for HIV/AIDS also perceived greater local HIV prevalence. Participants presen...
Lewin, N.S., Norris, S.A. & Richter, L.M. (2007) Health and social scientists need to weigh in. South African Medical Journal. 97(6):392.
Masehela, K. Escaping Europe's clutches. This Day. 11. (30 September 2004)
Mosam, A., Carrara, H., Shaik, F., Uldrick, T., Berkman, A., Aboobaker, J. & Coovadia, H.M. (2009) Increasing incidence of Kaposi's sarcoma in black South Africans in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa (1983-2006). International Journal of STD & AIDS. 20:553-556.
The aim of the study was to describe the temporal trends in the incidence of Kaposi's sarcoma (KS) in black South Africans in KwaZulu-Natal (KZN). The study was designed as a retrospective record review. The incidence of Kaposi's sarcoma was estimated using administrative records for patients receiving care for KS through public sector oncology clinics in KZN, 1983-2006. Annual age-standardize...
Mwambi, H.G. & Zuma, K. (2007) Mapping and modeling disease risk among mobile populations. In: Apostolopoulos, Y. & Sonmez, S. (eds). Population Mobility and Infectious Disease. New York: Springer. 245-266.
Parry, C., Pluddemann, A. & Bhana, A. (2009) Monitoring alcohol and drug abuse trends in South Africa (1996-2006): reflections on treatment demand trends. Contemporary Drug Problems. 36:685-703.
This article describes the South African Community Epidemiology Network on Drug Use project, describes selected trends in treatment demand related to alcohol and other drug (AOD) use for a 10 year period, and reflects on the utility and impact of this initiative on policy and practice. Data are collected using a standardized data collection form from over 70 specialist AOD treatment centres in...
Peltzer, K., Phaswana-Mafuya, M.N. & Johnson, B. (2007) Epidemiology of alcohol and drug use in South Africa: a review. (Poster presented at Quebec Drug Use South Africa).
Phaswana-Mafuya, N., Peltzer, K. & Johnson, B. (2007) Epidemiology of drug abuse treatment in South Africa. (Paper presented at the NIDA International Forum in conjunction with the 69th Annual Scientific Meeting of the College on problems on Drug Dependence (CPDD), 15-18 June).
Pluddemann, A., Parry, C., Cerff, P., Bhana, A., Pereira, T., Potgieter, H., Gerber, W., Nqini, T. & Petersen, P. (2007) Monitoring alcohol & drug abuse trends in South Africa (July 1996 - December 2006), Phase 21. SACENDU Research Brief. 10(1):1-11.
This report contains detailed data from specialist substance abuse treatment centers in sic sites that now comprise the South African Community Epidemiology Network on drug use. In expanding the SACENDU project the goal is to eventually collect data in all South Africa's provinces and from as many treatment centers as possible.
Pluddemann, A., Parry, C., Cerff, P., Bhana, A., Potgieter, H., Gerber, W., Mohamed, F., Petersen, P. & Carney, T. (2007) Monitoring alcohol & drug abuse trends in South Africa (July 1996 - June 2007), Phase 22. SACENDU Research Brief. 10(2):1-11.
This report contains detailed data from specialist substance abuse treatment centers in sic sites that now comprise the South African Community Epidemiology Network on drug use. In expanding the SACENDU project the goal is to eventually collect data in all South Africa's provinces and from as many treatment centers as possible.
Pluddemann, A., Hon, S., Bhana, A., Pereira, T., Potgieter, H., Gerber, W., Nqini, T., Petersen, P. & Parry, C. (2007) South African Community Epidemiology Network on Drug Use (SACENDU): monitoring alcohol and drug abuse treatment admissions in South Africa: Phase 21: July-December 2006. Tygerberg: Medical Research Council.
This report contains detailed data from specialist substance abuse treatment centers in sic sites that now comprise the South African Community Epidemiology Network on drug use. In expanding the SACENDU project the goal is to eventually collect data in all South Africa's provinces and from as many treatment centers as possible.
Pluddemann, A., Hon, S., Bhana, A., Potgieter, H., Gerber, W., Mohamed, F., Petersen, P. & Parry, C. (2007) South African Community Epidemiology Network on Drug Use (SACENDU): monitoring alcohol and drug abuse treatment admissions in South Africa: Phase 22: January - June 2007. Tygerberg: Medical Research Council.
This report contains detailed data from specialist substance abuse treatment centers in sic sites that now comprise the South African Community Epidemiology Network on drug use. In expanding the SACENDU project the goal is to eventually collect data in all South Africa's provinces and from as many treatment centers as possible.
Pluddemann, A., Hon, S., Bhana, A., Harker, N., Potgieter, H., Gerber, W. & Parry, C. (2004) Monitoring alcohol and drug abuse trends in South Africa. Proceedings of SACENDU report back meetings October 2004: January - June 2004: Phase 16. Tygerberg: Medical Research Council.
This report contains detailed data from specialist substance abuse treatment centres in the six cities that comprise the South African Community Epidemiology Network on drug use, namely Cape Town, Durban, Port Elizabeth, East London, Gauteng and Mpumalanga. East London joined the network in 2004. Summaries or abstracts of other presentations given at the various report back meetings are also ...
Pluddemann, A., Hon, S., Bhana, A., Harker, N., Potgieter, H., Gerber, W. & Parry, C. (2002) Monitoring alcohol and drug abuse trends in South Africa. Proceedings of South African Community Epidiology Network on Drug Use (SACENDU) report back meetings, March/April 2002; July-December 2001: Phase 11. Tygerberg: Medical Research Council.
Ramlagan, S., Peltzer, K. & Matseke, G. (2010) Epidemiology of drug abuse treatment in South Africa. South African Journal of Psychiatry. 16(2):40-49.
Background. The aim of the study was to explore the epidemiology of drug abuse treatment in South Africa. Methods. Treatment demand statistics were analysed from South African National Council on Alcoholism and Drug Dependence and the South African Community Epidemiology Network on Drug Use records, and a rapid situation assessment was conducted. Twenty-one key informant interviews were conduc...
Rehle, T. (2007) Measuring HIV incidence: epidemiological methods laboratory-based method. (Paper presented at the HIV Incidence Consultation Meeting, 2 August).
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Richter, L.M., Norris, S.A. & de Wet, T. (2004) Transition from birth to ten to birth to twenty: the South African cohort reaches 13 years of age. Paediatric and perinatal epidemiology. 18:290-301.
Richter, L.M., Victora, C.G., Hallal, P.C., Adair, L.S., Bhargava, S.K., Fall, C.H.D., Lee, N., Martorell, R., Norris, S.A., Sachdev, H.S., Stein, A.D. & Cohorts Group, (2011) Cohort profile: the consortium of health-orientated research in transitioning societies. International Journal of Epidemiology. January:Online.
In 2005, plans were made for a series of papers on maternal and child undernutrition for publication in The Lancet. The second paper of the series aimed to describe the long-term consequences of maternal and child undernutrition for health and human capital. The focal person for this article "Cesar Victora from the Federal University in Pelotas, Brazil " decided to bring together available lon...
Rispel, L., Metcalf, C., Cloete, A., Townsend, L. & Zembe, Y. (2008) Methodological and ethical challenges in conducting behavioural and HIV surveillance among men who have sex with men (MSM) in South Africa. (Paper presented at NICD epi-discussion forum, 9 September).
Setswe, G. (2010) Epidemiology and surveillance of the HIV/AIDS epidemic. (Paper presented at the PDM Summer School 2010, University of Stellenbosch, January).
Setswe, G. (2009) Epidemiology, surveillance and determinants of the global, African and southern African HIV/AIDS/STI epidemics. (Paper presented at the PDM Summer School 2009, University of Stellenbosch).
Setswe, G. (2009) TB and HIV/AIDS epidemics in South Africa: an overview. (Paper presented at the PDM2009 Summer School, Stellenbosch University, 13 January).
Simbayi, L.C. (2011) Alcohol and HIV: epidemiology in Africa & research updates. (Paper presented at the PEPFAR Southern & Eastern Africa Meeting on Alcohol and HIV Prevention, Windhoek, Namibia, 12-14 April).
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Simbayi, L.C. (2008) The epidemiology of HIV/AIDS in three countries in southern Africa: some key findings from population-based surveys. (Paper presented to the Symposium of the UNU-Cornell Africa Series entitled: "The Social and Economic Dimensions of HIV/AIDS in Africa", held at the United Nations Headquarters in New York on 9 September).
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Udjo, E.O. (2004) Do antenatal data exaggerate the demographic and epidemiological impact of HIV/AIDS on South Africa's population?. (Paper presented at the 5th Joint Population Conference of the Demographic Association of southern Africa, Durban, 6-8 October).
Zuma, K. (2008) A Bayesian analysis of correlated interval-censored data. (Paper presented at the International Biometrics Conference, Dublin, Ireland, 13-18 July).
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Zuma, K., Lurie, M. & Jorgensen, M. (2007) Analysis of interval-censored data from circular migrant and non-migrant sexual partnerships using the EM algorithm. Statistics in medicine. 26:309-319.
In epidemiological studies where subjects are seen periodically on follow-up visits, interval-censored data occur naturally. The exact time the change of state (such as HIV seroconversion) occurs is not known exactly, only that it occurred sometime within a specic time interval. Methods of estimation for intervalcensored data are readily available when data are independent. However, methods fo...
Zuma, K. (2007) A Bayesian analysis of correlated interval-censored data. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods. 36(4):725-730.
In epidemiological studies where subjects are seen periodically on follow-up visits, interval-censored data occur naturally. The exact time the change of state (such as HIV seroconversion) occurs is not known exactly, only that it occurred within some time interval. In multi-stage sampling or partner tracing studies, individuals are grouped into smaller subgroups. Individuals within a subgroup ...
Zuma, K. & Lurie, M.N. (2005) Application and comparison of methods for analysing correlated interval-censored data from sexual partnerships. Journal of data science. 3:241-256.
In epidemiological studies where subjects are seen periodically on follow-up visits, interval-censored data occur naturally. The exact time the change of state (such as HIV seroconversion) occurs is not known exactly, only that it occurred sometime within a specific time interval. This paper considers estimation of parameters when HIV infection times are intervalcensored and correlated. It is a...